Ethiopia's Abiy Faces an Opposing Alliance and a Conflict That Could Reach Eritrea
DW reports that Ethiopia's Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed is consolidating power while contending with a regional alliance that opposes him, and with a Tigray conflict that could spill over into Eritrea.
The conditional is doing real work. A spillover would move the fighting across a national border, which is a different order of problem from a war contained inside one country, and it is framed as a risk rather than something that has happened.