Two Pressures on Republican Gains With Latino Voters
NPR reports that Republicans made gains with Latino voters in the last election cycle, but that the economy and frustration over Donald Trump's immigration policy have eroded that support.
The two forces are different animals. One moves with wages, prices and confidence, and can swing back. The other is a matter of policy and enforcement, which rarely turns on a good quarter. Which of them is doing more of the work in a given place decides how recoverable those gains look.
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If the immigration frustration is the real driver, this erosion survives an improving economy. The two pressures do not cancel each other out.
Or the movement is mostly economic, in which case a decent stretch of wages quietly hands those voters back — and both parties will have over-read a mood as a realignment.