Carney Says He Has Considered American Military Action Against Canada
Prime Minister Mark Carney says he has considered the possibility of American military action against Canada, and that the Canadian Armed Forces had examined potential responses. A Conversation Canada essay on the subject is blunt that such a scenario remains extraordinarily unlikely — and argues that is exactly why it belongs in contingency planning.
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The essay borrows the intelligence vocabulary of “white swans,” the likely events that are routine to prepare for, and “black swans”: highly improbable developments outside normal expectations that could nonetheless have disruptive, far-reaching effects.
The case for doing the work anyway is that it pays off beyond the scenario itself — challenging assumptions can expose vulnerabilities and strengths and build habits of adaptive thinking, making the planning process as valuable as the plan.